Roseboro Foundation Modern Political Economy Think Tank

Where markets, ideology, and sentiment meet.

Roseboro Foundation is a modern political economy think tank that studies how ideology, collective emotion, and macroeconomic regimes shape financial markets, organizational strategy, and democratic systems.

Advancing modern political-behavioral finance through theory, data, and narrative.

What we study

  • Political identity and investor behavior
  • Macroeconomic regimes and volatility
  • Narrative, memory, and democratic institutions
  • Systems analytics for mission-driven organizations

Focus areas

4 Research pillars
3 Core domains: markets, regimes, democracy
1 Unifying theory

Modern Political-Behavioral Finance Theory

Roseboro Foundation is the institutional home for modern political-behavioral finance theory, an emerging framework developed by Ashley D. Roseboro that integrates political economy, behavioral finance, and data science to explain how ideology and emotion shape financial decision-making.

In this view, markets are not governed by fundamentals alone. Political identity, cultural narratives, and media environments act as shadow variables that move prices, reshape risk premia, and redirect capital flows. The Foundation’s work models these dynamics empirically and translates them into insights for scholars, policymakers, and practitioners.

Key claims of the framework

  • Markets respond to identity and narrative. Partisan cues, cultural symbols, and story frames drive expectations alongside earnings, rates, and growth.
  • Regimes matter. The influence of sentiment and ideology is nonlinear; it intensifies under stress—high volatility, tightening cycles, political shocks—and recedes when conditions stabilize.
  • Sentiment is structural, not noise. Herding, fear, outrage, and FoMO create persistent patterns in returns and risk, not just transient anomalies.
  • Narratives shape institutions. Stories about democracy, justice, and legitimacy inform how firms behave, investors react, and policymakers respond.

Research Pillars

Our work is organized around four interconnected pillars that translate theory into empirical research and actionable insight.

Capital Markets & Political Behavior

We study how political polarization, partisan identity, and sociopolitical branding shape stock returns, investor expectations, and equity risk premia.

  • Culture war controversies and market reaction
  • Investor herding and ideological segmentation
  • Asset pricing under sociopolitical stress

Macroeconomic Regimes & Volatility

We use regime-switching models and macro-financial indicators to understand when behavioral forces become most influential in driving risk and return.

  • High- and low-volatility market regimes
  • Monetary policy, liquidity, and uncertainty
  • Nonlinear and asymmetric responses to shocks

Narrative, Memory & Democracy

We analyze how historical memory, civil rights narratives, and media ecosystems shape public belief, political participation, and long-run expectations.

  • Civil rights storytelling and political imagination
  • Media framing and legitimacy of institutions
  • Links between narrative, trust, and economic behavior

Organizational Strategy & Systems Analytics

We apply modern political economy insights to mission-driven organizations, helping them design strategies that account for ideological risk and narrative environments.

  • Data-informed strategy for nonprofits and civic institutions
  • Measurement and evaluation frameworks
  • Scenario planning in polarized environments

Flagship Projects

These projects anchor our research agenda and demonstrate how theory, data, and narrative combine in practice.

Culture Wars & Capital Markets

An ongoing research program examining how ideological branding controversies influence stock performance, investor sentiment, and corporate strategy—especially during periods of market stress and elevated volatility.

Focus: political identity, ESG backlash, equity risk under polarization.

Signals and Systems

A multi-essay research agenda on the political economy of investor sentiment and financial innovation, including extended asset-pricing models, sentiment analysis, and macro-regime modeling.

Focus: modern political-behavioral finance theory and regime-dependent pricing.

Narratives of Justice & Economic Imagination

Work centered on civil rights figures and movements, exploring how historical narratives about justice and citizenship influence contemporary beliefs about democracy, equity, and opportunity.

Focus: civil rights memory, democratic legitimacy, and long-term expectations.

Founder

Ashley D. Roseboro

Ashley D. Roseboro is the Founder and Chief Theorist of the Roseboro Foundation and a PhD Fellow in Business Analytics at the University of South Alabama. His work bridges finance, behavioral science, and communication strategy, with a focus on how ideology, sentiment, and macroeconomic structures influence organizational strategy, market behavior, and societal transformation.

Drawing on econometrics, machine learning, and natural language processing, he examines nonlinear and regime-dependent patterns in asset pricing, demonstrating how investor psychology and sociopolitical identity influence the amplification or mitigation of financial volatility across both traditional and decentralized markets.

Roseboro also serves as Founder and CEO of Roseboro Holdings, a consulting firm that applies the Foundation’s research to help organizations turn data into strategy and strategy into a coherent narrative in complex political and economic environments.

Areas of scholarly focus

  • Modern political-behavioral finance theory
  • Market sentiment, polarization, and asset pricing
  • Macroeconomic regimes and systemic risk
  • Narrative, civil rights memory, and democratic stability
  • Data science for mission-driven organizations

The Foundation serves as the research and ideas engine for this agenda, while Roseboro Holdings functions as the applied advisory arm.

Connect & Collaborate

We partner with universities, think tanks, foundations, and mission-driven organizations to advance research, convene conversations, and design applied projects rooted in modern political economy.

  • Email: info@roseborofoundation.com
  • Partnerships: partners@roseborofoundation.com
  • Media & Speaking: media@roseborofoundation.com

For research collaborations, please include a brief description of your institution, the question you are exploring, and potential data sources.

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